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Posts tagged ‘Bill McInturff’

Poll: Christie’s Support Drops as Bridge-Gate Scandal Unfolds.

Image: Poll: Christie's Support Drops as Bridge-Gate Scandal Unfolds

By Melanie Batley


The bridge-gate scandal engulfing New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie appears to be taking its toll, with more people now viewing the Republican negatively than positively for the first time, while increasing numbers believe he is lying about it, a new poll has found.

According to an NBC News/ Wall Street Journal survey conducted Jan. 22-25 of 800 Americans, 29 percent now view Christie negatively compared to 22 percent who view him positively. That’s a significant reversal from the poll taken in October when 33 percent of respondents had a positive view of him compared to 17 percent who held a negative opinion.

Urgent: Do You Like Chris Christie? Vote Now 

Meanwhile, 44 percent of those surveyed doubt Christie was telling the truth when he denied any knowledge of the alleged plan by his staff to slow traffic on the George Washington Bridge at Fort Lee, N.J. as political retribution against the city’s Democratic mayor. Forty-two percent, however, say he’s mostly telling the truth about his knowledge of the incident. 

The results also mark a shift from an NBC/Marist poll taken earlier this month when 44 percent of those polled said he was mostly telling the truth, compared to 33 percent who said he wasn’t. 

A full 79 percent of Americans now say they are aware of the story.

“We’re in the midst of an incredibly difficult story,” Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who helped conduct the survey, told the Journal. “We don’t know yet if this overwhelms his national standing.”

But McInturff added, “It changes the starting point of a national campaign.” 

The largest erosion of support came from moderates. Just 22 percent view Christie favorably compared to 29 percent who view him negatively, a dramatic reversal from the October poll when 44 percent of moderates had a positive view of the governor, compared to just 13 percent who viewed him negatively.

His support among Democrats has also seen a reversal. In the current poll, just 15 percent view Christie favorably, compared to 37 percent who view him negatively. In October, 30 percent had a favorable view, compared to 17 percent who voiced a negative opinion.

While Christie has lost some ground with Republicans and self-identified conservatives, he has maintained a largely favorable image among them, though 20 percent of conservatives now view him in a negative light.

The results suggest that the controversies surrounding the governor have significantly damaged his broad appeal nationally and have already dented his 2016 presidential prospects. 

In a presidential match-up with former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, support for Christie has slipped by 10 points since the NBC/ Marist poll. Clinton had just a three point lead then at 48 percent compared to Christie’s 45 percent support. In today’s poll, Clinton leads by a margin of 50 percent to 37 percent.

Christie is currently facing multiple state and federal inquiries related to both the bridge-gate controversy and the alleged misuse of superstorm Sandy funds.  

Urgent: Do You Like Chris Christie? Vote Now 

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© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.



Kick Them All Out! Distaste for DC Politicians at All-Time High.

Image: Kick Them All Out! Distaste for DC Politicians at All-Time High

By Lisa Barron

The public’s displeasure with Washington politics reached a new high Friday with separate polls calling for all members of Congress to be fired and for a strong third party to challenge the 150-year-old dominance of Republicans and Democrats.

One survey also gave the lowest-ever favorability to the GOP, with more than twice as many people having a negative view as a positive.

The government shutdown and the continued failure of politicians to seek compromise was being blamed for the low opinion of the country’s current leaders.

Urgent: Should GOP Stick to Its Guns on Obamacare? Vote Here. 

One poll, conducted for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, showed that given the chance, 60 percent of Americans would vote out every single member of Congress — including their own representatives.

It is the highest-ever figure recorded since the pollsters asked the question. “We continue to use this number as a way to sort of understand how much revulsion there is. We now have a new high-water mark,” said Peter Hart, one of those who conducted the poll.

A separate Gallup poll gave the same 60 percent number for those who believe the country needs a strong third party — again a record high. At the same time, a new low of 26 percent believe the two major parties adequately represent Americans.

“Given the inability of the Republican and Democratic parties to agree on the most basic of government functions — passing an annual budget to pay for federal programs — it is perhaps not surprising that the percentage of Americans who believe a third party is needed has never been higher,” Gallup managing editor Jeffrey Jones said.

The belief was evenly split, with 52 percent of Republicans and 49 percent of Democrats saying a third party is needed, marking the first time a majority of either party’s supporters have said this.

The results are consistent with Gallup’s finding of more negative opinions of both parties since the shutdown began Oct. 1, including Americans’ widespread dissatisfactionwith the way the nation is being governed.

Eighteen percent of Americans now say they are satisfied with how Washington is running the country, down 14 percent from the 32 percent recorded last month. It’s also the lowest government satisfaction rating in Gallup’s history of asking the question, going back to 1971 — through such crises as Watergate, the Iran hostages, the Clinton impeachment hearings, the war in Iraq, and the recession.

The figures provide “still another example of how the government shutdown is having a detrimental impact on Americans’ attitudes,” Gallup stated.

While both major parties fare badly in the polls, it is the Republicans who continue to get more blame. More than twice as many hold a negative view of the GOP as a positive one, the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found. Those viewing the Democratic Party positively or negatively was nearly equal, at about 40 percent.

Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who conducted the poll along with Democrats Hart and Fred Yang, called the data “toxic” and said that in many key areas the GOP had suffered from an “ideological boomerang” contrary to the outcome it sought when members of the party launched the budget fight last month.

“What is stunning about these results is just how hard and how quickly public attitudes have landed on the shutdown,” said Hard, adding that the poll underscored “a broad disgust for the political system.”

Other polls this week have also indicated that Republicans get the brunt of the blame for the shutdown, but also show that nobody in Washington comes out looking like a hero.
The latest Associated Press-GfK survey, released Wednesday, found that 62 percent of respondents mainly blamed the GOP for the shutdown, while about half said President Barack Obama or Democrats in Congress bear much of the responsibility.

Urgent: Should GOP Stick to Its Guns on Obamacare? Vote Here. 

Most Americans, 68 percent, consider the shutdown a serious problem for the country, the poll found, although more than four in five have felt no personal effect.

For those who have, the biggest complaints were ruined vacations in shuttered national parks, trouble getting work done without contacts in federal jobs, and difficulty receiving government benefits.

Asked if she blamed Obama, House Republicans, Senate Democrats, or the tea party for the shutdown, 71-year-old Martha Blair, an independent from Kerrville, Texas, responded, “Yes, you bet. All of them.”

The majority of Americans disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job, the survey suggested, with 53 percent unhappy with his performance and 37 percent approving of it.
Congress is at rock bottom, with a dismal approval rating of just 5 percent, the poll found.

Respondents seemed unsure about the looming showdown over the debt ceiling. Six in 10 predict an economic crisis if the government’s ability to borrow isn’t renewed later this month, but only 30 percent say they support raising the limit. Forty-six percent were neutral on the question.

The Journal/NBC poll of 800 Americans was conducted Oct. 7-9. The Gallup poll was taken among slightly more than 1,000 adults nationwide between Oct 3-6 and the AP poll was among 1,227 adults conducted from Oct. 3-7.

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© 2013 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Polls: Public Against Strike on Syria, Distrusts Obama’s Leadership.

Image: Polls: Public Against Strike on Syria, Distrusts Obama's Leadership

By Melanie Batley

As President Barack Obama prepares to address the nation Tuesday night on the crisis in Syria, polls show the American public is increasingly opposed to U.S. involvement in the conflict and critical of the way the president has handled it.

According to a Wall Street Journal/ NBC News survey conducted Sept. 5-8, just 33 percent of respondents believe Congress should approve the president’s proposal for U.S. military strikes against Syria, and less than a quarter think military action is in the national interest.

The survey of 1,000 adults also found that in just two weeks, support among Americans for limited airstrikes against Syrian military targets has slid from 50 percent to 44 percent.
“As the public hears more information, they are coming down on the side of ‘Don’t do it,'” said Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who conducted the survey with Democratic pollsters Fred Yang and Peter Hart.

The poll found that almost 60 percent of Americans disapprove of the way Obama has dealt with the conflict, compared to just one-third who say he has made a convincing case for U.S. strikes in the wake of Syrian President Bashar Assad‘s reported use of chemical weapons against his own people.

Meanwhile, a CNN/ORC poll conducted Sept. 6-8 also shows the public disapproves of the president’s approach and he has failed to clearly communicate his strategy.

Specifically, the survey of 1,022 people indicates Americans are evenly divided on whether the president is trustworthy and only one in five people fully understands the president’s policy on Syria.

“One concern is the messenger himself,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. “The public’s split right down the middle on whether Obama is a strong leader, whether he is honest and trustworthy, and whether he inspires confidence.”

The CNN poll revealed that skepticism about American involvement in Syria may be driven by war weariness after almost a dozen years of conflict in Iraq and Afghanistan, leading to an overall reluctance to more American entanglements abroad.

Three-quarters of those surveyed said the U.S. should not play the role of world policeman.

New York Times/CBS News poll conducted Sept. 6-8 confirmed those findings. A broad majority of the 1,011 Americans surveyed are opposed to a military strike, partially over concern about another protracted American involvement abroad, with 62 percent saying the United States should not take a leading role in trying to solve foreign conflicts.

© 2013 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Republicans See Obamacare Issues as Key to 2014.

Image: Republicans See Obamacare Issues as Key to 2014

Obamacare opponents rally outside the United States Supreme Court in Washington on March 26, 2012.

If Republicans were writing a movie script for next year’s congressional elections, the working title might be “2014: Apocalypse of Obamacare.”

The plot: The rollout of President Barack Obama’s health care law turns into such a disaster that enraged voters rebuke him by rewarding the GOP with undisputed control of Congress.

But there’s a risk for Republicans if they’re wrong and the Affordable Care Act works reasonably well, particularly in states that have embraced it. Republicans might be seen as obstinately standing in the way of progress.

The law already has been a political prop in two election seasons, but next year will be different.

Voters will have a real program to judge, working or dysfunctional. Will affordable health care finally be a reality for millions of uninsured working people? Or will premiums skyrocket as the heavy hand of government upends already fragile insurance markets for small businesses and individuals?

“The end of this movie has not been written,” said Robert Blendon, a Harvard professor who tracks public opinion on health care. He says next year’s movie actually will be a documentary: what happens in states that fully put the law in place and those that resist — “a message of reality.”

One of the most prominent doomsayers is Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, who predicts “Obamacare” probably will be the biggest issue of 2014 and “an albatross around the neck of every Democrat who voted for it.”

“This thing can’t possibly work,” says McConnell. “It will be a huge disaster in 2014.”

Counting on that, House Republicans are busy framing an election narrative, voting to repeal the health law and trying to link it to the scandal over the Internal Revenue Service‘s targeting of tea party groups. It could help excite the conservative base.

But Democratic pollster Celinda Lake doubts reality will follow the GOP script. Next year, “we won’t have to worry about the mythology laid out by the right wing about Obamacare: death panels and dramatic cuts to Medicare,” she said.

Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., said uninsured people in her state will have over 200 coverage options to choose from. “We have been hearing the fear, but in states like mine, people are seeing the reality,” she said.

In just about five months, people without access to coverage through their jobs can start shopping for subsidized private insurance in new state markets. The actual benefits begin Jan. 1. But because of continuing opposition to the law from many Republican governors and state legislators, the federal government will be running the insurance markets in more than half the states.

Another major element of the law, the expansion of Medicaid to serve more low-income people, also has run into problems. With many legislative sessions over or winding down, it looks like fewer than half the states may accept the expansion. That means millions of low-income people are likely to remain uninsured, at least initially.

Other early indicators of how well the health care rollout might fare are mixed.

In a dozen or so states that have started releasing details of their new insurance markets, there’s robust insurer interest in participating, according to the market research firm Avalere Health. That’s a good signal for competition.

There still are concerns about a spike in premiums for people who already buy their own coverage, particularly the young and healthy. That could happen for several reasons.

The health care law forbids insurers to deny coverage to sick people, and it limits what older adults can be charged. Also, the plans that will be offered next year are more comprehensive than many bare-bones policies currently available to individuals.

Another big source of angst is the Obama administration. The Health and Human Services Department will be running the program in half the country while trying to fight off attempts by congressional Republicans to starve it financially. Unusual for a social program, the administration is largely operating behind a veil of secrecy.

Will Obama’s underlings turn out to be the Keystone Kops of health care?

Frustration that he and his constituents couldn’t get basic information from the administration led one of the authors of the law, Sen. Max Baucus, D-Mont., to warn recently that he sees “a huge train wreck coming down.”

Republicans loved it. Lost in the uproar was the fact that Baucus was referring to potential problems with implementation. He stills thinks the health care law itself is a good thing.

The administration official running the rollout, Gary Cohen, told Congress this past that he didn’t agree with the senator’s statement. “We are very much on schedule,” Cohen said.

Republican pollster Bill McInturff says he’s skeptical of what he hears from the administration as well as from his own party. McInturff, who has made polling on health care his specialty, says the launch of any national program is bound to have problems. President George W. Bush’s Medicare prescription benefit went through several weeks of chaos before things got smoothed out.

“Life experience says to me there is not going to be some simple, clear narrative that is sitting here today,” McInturff said.

© Copyright 2013 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


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